Solid preview article from Stampede Blue

[Dam8610]

The Chiefs haven't exactly looked like the unstoppable offensive force they were at ther beginning of the season since releasing Kareem Hunt. In the 3 games they've played since releasing Hunt that weren't against the Raiders, the Chiefs:

- Went 1-2.
- Averaged 28.7 points per game (still impressive, but well below their season average)
- Averaged 30.3(!) points allowed per game
- Averaged 102.7 rushing yards per game (2 of 3 under 100 yards)
- Averaged 1.7 turnovers per game, with a -1.7 average per game differential.

So, unless you think the Colts are as bad as the Raiders, this seems like a vulnerable team with a good passing game and not much else going for it. The Colts seem to be the much more complete team. I don't think it will take some extraordinary effort from any one player or the team as a whole for the Colts to win this one. All I think it would take is them playing their game and executing well. This Chiefs team seems very vulnerable to me.

[Phelanka7]

If this ends up being a "weather game" (snow is forecast) then I like the Colts chances even more. I think this team is better built for that kind of game.

[VeveJones007]

Originally Posted by Dam8610

The Chiefs haven't exactly looked like the unstoppable offensive force they were at ther beginning of the season since releasing Kareem Hunt. In the 3 games they've played since releasing Hunt that weren't against the Raiders, the Chiefs:

- Went 1-2.
- Averaged 28.7 points per game (still impressive, but well below their season average)
- Averaged 30.3(!) points allowed per game
- Averaged 102.7 rushing yards per game (2 of 3 under 100 yards)
- Averaged 1.7 turnovers per game, with a -1.7 average per game differential.

So, unless you think the Colts are as bad as the Raiders, this seems like a vulnerable team with a good passing game and not much else going for it. The Colts seem to be the much more complete team. I don't think it will take some extraordinary effort from any one player or the team as a whole for the Colts to win this one. All I think it would take is them playing their game and executing well. This Chiefs team seems very vulnerable to me.

The Chiefs defense gave up 18 ppg at home and 35 ppg on the road. In 5/8 road games, the Chiefs gave up at least 33 points. The Chiefs did not surrender 30 points in any home game this year.

Colts need to get off to a strong start because that defense is built to rush the passer with a lead.

[Oldcolt]

We are a better team. Better offensive line, punter (in this cold it counts), FG kicker, quarterback and run/scoring defense. Our backs are just as good or better and we have a better coaching staff. We both play our best and Colts move on.

[FatDT]

Originally Posted by Oldcolt

We are a better team. Better offensive line, punter (in this cold it counts), FG kicker, quarterback and run/scoring defense. Our backs are just as good or better and we have a better coaching staff. We both play our best and Colts move on.

For this year specifically I don't think you can say Luck is better than Mahomes. Reid is very creative and will probably throw some things at our defense they're not ready for.

That said I think our completeness as a team matches up well with their overwhelming strength on offense, especially in the cold and if there is snow.

Chiefs deserve to be favored, but a Colts win is reasonable to expect.

[Dam8610]

Originally Posted by VeveJones007

The Chiefs defense gave up 18 ppg at home and 35 ppg on the road. In 5/8 road games, the Chiefs gave up at least 33 points. The Chiefs did not surrender 30 points in any home game this year.

Colts need to get off to a strong start because that defense is built to rush the passer with a lead.

Exactly, their whole team is built around playing one type of game. Make them play a different game.

[VeveJones007]

Originally Posted by Dam8610

Exactly, their whole team is built around playing one type of game. Make them play a different game.

And if the Colts fall behind by two scores, the game is probably over.

[Dam8610]

Originally Posted by VeveJones007

And if the Colts fall behind by two scores, the game is probably over.

Obviously the Colts don't want to fall behind by two scores, but the worst case scenario isn't the only one that can happen. There's a reason the Chiefs earned the #1 seed, they're a good team. They just also look very vulnerable to the strengths of this Colts team to me.