Holder put analysis behind my tempered expectations for Luck early in 2018:
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IndyStar looked at the top 25 quarterbacks from the last 20 years who missed at least four games or were injured in the offseason, then analyzed their performance prior to the injury and in their first four games back. The result? The quarterbacks were roughly 20 percent worse statistically in completion percentage, quarterback rating, touchdown-to-interception ratio and (hold your breath Colts fans) sack percentage. They returned to their previous level of performance by Game 5 or 6 on average.
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https://www.indystar.com/story/sport...ury/825679002/