[ukcolt]

Originally Posted by Dam8610

Lopsided TVC trades have definitely happened in real life. One even happened between the Colts and Jets recently. In 2018, the Colts traded the #3 pick (2200) for the #6 pick (1600), #34 pick (560), #49 (410), and a 2019 2nd round pick (228), which, since it was from the Jets and they were drafting a QB, it is fair to assume that the pick would be top half of the round, and future picks are typically devalued by one round, which results in the value shown above, which is the average of the values of 3rd round picks 1-16. 2200 < 1600 + 560 + 410 + 228 = 2798. According to TVC, the Jets overpaid by the equivalent of a low 1 to move up those 3 spots. TVC is a guide and all of it is relative. Another example would be that I am certain the 49ers overpaid by TVC to move from 12 to 3, but if they get a QB that puts them in championship contention, they won't care.

There are examples, but only at the very top end of the draft, where you are trying to get the very cream of the crop and yes you then might have to pay a premium.