Quote:
Originally Posted by ukcolt
That first trade is utterly stupid, and totally unrealistic. You get to trade back just 2 spots, move up 20 spots in the 2nd round, go from pick 127 to 66 and then from pick 165 to 86?
Existing picks were worth 800, 360, 45 and 24 for a total of 1229 and in return you get 760, 560, 260 and 160 for a total of 1740. If you were EVER able to get that in real life, you would be voted GM of the year instantly. The net gain was 511 points or the 39th overall pick, so a very high 2nd round pick. I do understand this is just a draft simulator, but to say that it is a good one, when it offers that sort of trade option, says to me that it really isn't a very good simulator at all.
Personally i think that confirms that PFF is there only as a guide and wild fun.
I actually don't mind some of their statistical analysis, even if it is often very flawed.
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Lopsided TVC trades have definitely happened in real life. One even happened between the Colts and Jets recently. In 2018, the Colts traded the #3 pick (2200) for the #6 pick (1600), #34 pick (560), #49 (410), and a 2019 2nd round pick (228), which, since it was from the Jets and they were drafting a QB, it is fair to assume that the pick would be top half of the round, and future picks are typically devalued by one round, which results in the value shown above, which is the average of the values of 3rd round picks 1-16. 2200 < 1600 + 560 + 410 + 228 = 2798. According to TVC, the Jets overpaid by the equivalent of a low 1 to move up those 3 spots. TVC is a guide and all of it is relative. Another example would be that I am certain the 49ers overpaid by TVC to move from 12 to 3, but if they get a QB that puts them in championship contention, they won't care.