Quote:
Originally Posted by Chaka
You are technically correct - the $15 million isn't guaranteed yet, and wouldn't be guaranteed until March 20, 2021 - the third day of the league year. However, I was operating on the assumption that it was effectively guaranteed, at least as to the Colts, because if we traded for Wentz and took on his $25.4M salary for 2021, we aren't going to cut him before March 20 of this year absent his involvement in some sort of OJ-style murder spree.
From the Eagle's perspective, however, it is possible (though very unlikely in my view) that if they can't find a trade partner, they could go nuclear and cut him, absorb the $60M cap hit next year to be done with it. In that case, assuming they did this prior to March 20, they wouldn't have to pay the $15M because it would not have vested yet.
Spotrac's breakdown is from the perspective of the Eagles, not any potential trade partners.
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But if the 2022 salary becomes guaranteed on the third day of the 2021 league year, how could the Eagles get out with only the signing and option bonuses as dead cap in 2022? I think you may be confusing the 2021 and 2022 salaries? Because it would make sense for the 2021 salary to become fully guaranteed on the third day of the 2021 league year, but it makes less sense for the 2022 salary to become guaranteed on that day. It would also make sense for the 2022 salary to become guaranteed the third day of the 2022 league year, and would provide the out that Spotrac seems to think exists. I feel like gambling on Wentz in 2021 at the price of 2020 Rivers is worth a 3, because either Reich fixes him and he's the franchise QB who we got for a 3, or he doesn't and the Colts will be able to draft their next franchise QB and walk away from Wentz commitment free.
Considering that his issues seem to be poor playcalling for his skillset, trying to do too much, and mechanics (in a year where a pandemic eliminated the preseason and OTAs), and that he was MVP caliber with Reich as his OC, I think Wentz's best chance of turning it around is with the Colts, where he'll have a team that he doesn't have to carry to win and Reich has demonstrated the ability to tailor an offense to his skillset and has fixed his mechanical issues previously.