Week 10 vs cheats - stats and stuff
 

Dayo Odeyingbo accounted for a career-high 3 of the Colts’ 5 sacks in a Week 10 win against the Patriots.

Odeyingbo has now recorded multiple pressures in four straight games, and has since doubled his pressure rate (15.3%) compared to Weeks 1-6 (7.1%).

https://i.ibb.co/DftSDgv/IMG-4479.jpg

https://x.com/nextgenstats/status/17...L8ardaxv32vrGQ

Maybe Ballard finally hit on a drafted DE. Still need more pressure.

The Colts currently have 4 pass rushers projected to finish this season with 6.0+ sacks:

Dayo Odeyingbo: 6.0 (on pace for 10.2)

DeForest Buckner: 5.0 (on pace for 8.5)

Kwity Paye: 4.5 (on pace for 8.0)

Samson Ebukam: 4.0 (on pace for 6.8)

https://x.com/zachhicks2/status/1724...L8ardaxv32vrGQ

More pressure is always good but I just looked up some stats:

Colts defense is dead last in blitz % at 15% (compared to Vikings in 1st at 45%!)

Despite this, Colts are 11th in sack rate at 7.96% (compared to Browns at 11.28%).

Colts also had the highest sack rate in the past weekend's games, and are ranked 7th in sack rate over the past 3 weeks.

Also tied for 10th in total takeaways.

But when pressure doesn't get home, we're not really hurrying the opposing QBs, because the Colts defense is 25th in Hurry% and 23rd in pressure rate.

So we're somehow scheming a pretty decent sack rate without blitzing, but seemingly contradicting that is a weak pressure rate which likely accounts for the insane passing yards this defense has given up. But really this defense has given up a ton of yards. (worth noting that yards/play stat is more middle of the pack, and we've just ended up with a ton of plays against us, in fact, leading the league in that stat).

In the end, 5th in points against needs improvement.

https://www.pro-football-reference.c...s/2023/opp.htm

On a side note, Minshew is the most heavily blitzed QB in the league at like 40%. Gotta be able to make them pay.

Raimann is 1 of 8 Left Tackles leaguewide who has logged 300+ pass-blocking snaps and has a 80+ pass block grade via PFF. He also has the 4th-best run block grade (72.1) among them and has only committed 1 penalty.

https://x.com/nerlens_/status/172413...L8ardaxv32vrGQ

Colts run defense…

In 6 games with Grover Stewart:

113 yards per game
3.7 yards per carry

In 4 games without Grover Stewart:

154 yards per game
4.7 yards per carry

https://x.com/nateatkins_/status/172...L8ardaxv32vrGQ

Baldinger giving the dline some love

https://x.com/baldynfl/status/172421...L8ardaxv32vrGQ

Prior to the Cheats game, I lurked through a few other teams message boards and had found a stat that had included the Colts.

On a Vikings forum, they had mentioned:

Before Justin Jefferson strained his hamstring, the Vikings ranked third in rushing success rate, according to TruMedia. In the four weeks since, the Vikings rank 27th. Opposing defenses are applying more numbers in the box to stop the run, and Minnesota hasn’t had an answer. Only the Indianapolis Colts are averaging fewer yards per rush before contact than the Vikings in the past four weeks — which means the blocking is … well, close to nonexistent.


I have searched for this stat a little and found data for all NFL teams averaged for the entire season. If someone can find the info for the last 5 games (including the Cheats game), I would be interested to see it. I assume Minshew has really impacted this stat.

Yeah, teams just have no fear of GM beating them over the top. Why it’s also so hard to tell if AP has progressed at all.

Also 4th in the league in sacks while blitzing the least in the league.

o


A 266-game NFL streak has ended ...... dating back to the 2012 season, NFL teams had gone 266 consecutive games of winning when their team gained at least 150 yards rushing while holding their opponent to 10 points or less ...... the Patriots gained 167 yards rushing, held the Colts to 10 points, but lost the game because they only scored 6 points themselves.



Patriots’ Loss to Colts Ended This 266-Game Winning Streak by NFL Teams That Dated Back 11 Years

(By John Breech)

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/p...back-11-years/

o

lol

https://i.ibb.co/fpJgLh6/IMG-4485.jpg

This

https://x.com/natefrmnap/status/1723...L8ardaxv32vrGQ

Offensive line grades in True Pass Sets (excludes plays with less than 4 rushers, play action, screens, short dropbacks and time-to-throws under 2 seconds).

https://i.ibb.co/BfZ1sHz/IMG-4487.jpg

https://twitter.com/ZachHicks2/statu...28657097044217

I like this one, too:

https://twitter.com/ZachHicks2/statu...43844720656825

And people said I was crazy to call Trevor Lawrence a bust.

But you thought that Mac Jones was better. Time to get off your high horse.

Three OCs in three years can do that to a QB that needed a good situation to succeed. Glad it happened to the Cheats, that's for sure, but if SF had drafted him as was rumored on draft day, he might look better than Purdy does in that role.

I also read that this loss broke a 20+ year streak.

The Cheats had won 89 straight games when their defense held the opponent to 10 points or fewer.

The last loss was 2001.


https://twitter.com/bostonsportsinf/...54857100669132

https://twitter.com/bostonsportsinf/...60038156640761

That sir is ludicrous!

7th round pick Jaylon Jones is proving Chris Ballard right so far.

To draft two year 1 starters in the 7th round two years in a row is unheard of stuff from Ballard and his team. (Rodney Thomas & Jaylon Jones)

https://i.ibb.co/zXxMzYd/IMG-4492.jpg

https://x.com/thedestinadams/status/...L8ardaxv32vrGQ

Sure, just like Lawrence being a bust was ludicrous. Looks like I got the bigger, more important one right.

Wish we knew where Brents was on this graph.

Yeah, not sure why he’s not on there. Maybe data doesn’t paint a clear picture or they only did the snap leaders for the team.

Probably the latter.

Yeah, the chart indicates the player needs a minimum of 120 snaps in pass coverage - and Brents exceeds that minimum.

But maybe the person who made the graph capped a team to 4 CB's.

Michael Pittman
92 targets
2 drops

https://x.com/pff_fantasy/status/172...L8ardaxv32vrGQ

Kenny Moore #1 slot corner in the NFL?

https://www.nfl.com/news/top-10-slot...ore-rules-incr

Gardner Minshew is responsible for 18.8% of QB pressures the Colts have allowed this season.

Quenton Nelson (10.0%), Ryan Kelly (7.5%), and Will Fries (15.5%) are all less responsible for pressure on the quarterback than the quarterback himself.

https://x.com/colts_report/status/17...L8ardaxv32vrGQ

o


Stan: ) "Oh my God ...... they killed Gardner !!!"


Kyle: ) "You bastards !!!"


Cartman: ) "Wait a minute, guys ...... they DID NOT kill Gardner ...... Gardner killed himself."

o

https://twitter.com/NFL_DovKleiman/s...29753073832235

This is why Leonard was released. Can't pay your LB3 $20M per year.

That is why he would have been released at the end of the year. They released him now because he was being a little bitch complaining and pouting about not getting playing time because he sucked. Steichen is building a culture here and Leonard wasn't buying in so he got canned in the middle of the season. I love this move. Steichen obviously doesn't put up with anyone not pulling the same way, no matter how good you 'used' to be or are in you head. As numerous folks have pointed out and Racehorse just did, nobody signed him off waivers and nobody has signed him since. It was pointed out in a StampedeBlue article that both JT and Leonard have the same representative and pulled the same kinda shit. Neither has a damn thing to bitch about but took that course anyway.