Realistic Draft

[rm1369]

Originally Posted by FatDT

BPA isn't this brilliant idea you seem to think it is. "Best player" isn't something most teams are going to agree on. It's best player on their own board. When they set up that board, they take their own roster, scheme, and philosophy into account. A team like ours will not value a 340 lb two gap NT the same way a traditional 3-4 team would. Therefore a NT ranked in the 40s by us might be a top 12 player for another team.

Team fit matters. No GM ever sets out to draft a "best player" that doesn't fit their team.

I’d throw out tiers of players being a factor as well. If you have a RB as the top rated player on your board, but you have 3 other RBs with relatively similar ratings do you take that top rated back? What if you are confident one of those 4 similarly rated RBs will make it to your next pick, but there is only one similarly rated guard and then a huge drop off? A smart GM probably takes the guard.

The bottom line is that any GM that goes strictly BPA or strictly need is going to be a bad GM. There is more to building a team than just acquiring talent. At some point you have to put the talent on the field and it has to mesh.

[Puck]

Originally Posted by rm1369

I’d throw out tiers of players being a factor as well. If you have a RB as the top rated player on your board, but you have 3 other RBs with relatively similar ratings do you take that top rated back? What if you are confident one of those 4 similarly rated RBs will make it to your next pick, but there is only one similarly rated guard and then a huge drop off? A smart GM probably takes the guard.

The bottom line is that any GM that goes strictly BPA or strictly need is going to be a bad GM. There is more to building a team than just acquiring talent. At some point you have to put the talent on the field and it has to mesh.

I can agree with this. Makes perfect sense. But rounds 1-3 he is looking for talent He may reach a bit in later rounds.

I'm quite certain at least 3 of the picks in the 1st 3 rounds won't go as expected

[rm1369]

Originally Posted by Puck

I'm quite certain at least 3 of the picks in the 1st 3 rounds won't go as expected

I personally would only be surprised if he picked a QB or C in rounds 1-3. Other than that what positions can you legitimately say are set? I suppose you could argue safety but I wouldn’t be surprised at either Fitzpatrick or James being drafted. Ballard has a lot of directions he can go.

If you mean he may not go OL early and often like many want or assume then I agree. Wouldn’t be surprised either way. The D was already short on talent and the scheme change just makes it worse. I’m torn on what I’d prefer to see. Luck has to be protected. But damn this D needs some talent.

[Puck]

Originally Posted by rm1369

I personally would only be surprised if he picked a QB or C in rounds 1-3. Other than that what positions can you legitimately say are set? I suppose you could argue safety but I wouldn’t be surprised at either Fitzpatrick or James being drafted. Ballard has a lot of directions he can go.

If you mean he may not go OL early and often like many want or assume then I agree. Wouldn’t be surprised either way. The D was already short on talent and the scheme change just makes it worse. I’m torn on what I’d prefer to see. Luck has to be protected. But damn this D needs some talent.

Stop being sensible. If it's anything but a pass rusher in the 1st this place will implode The second bombing will come if he takes a CB or a safety before a LB no matter the reach involved.

[VeveJones007]

I won’t be upset at all if they take Roquon over Nelson.

[Puck]

Originally Posted by VeveJones007

I won’t be upset at all if they take Roquon over Nelson.

I st d corrected. The. It explosion will occur if they take Nelson. Ha

[Dam8610]

Originally Posted by Puck

I st d corrected. The. It explosion will occur if they take Nelson. Ha

Nelson is the just about the biggest waste of a Top 10 pick I can imagine, so that seems accurate.

[rm1369]

Originally Posted by Puck

I st d corrected. The. It explosion will occur if they take Nelson. Ha

Can’t say I’d be happy with Barkley or Nelson. But the free agent signings (or lack of) and Hankins release have put me in a skeptical wait and see mindset. It’s already obvious Ballard isn’t going to do things in a manner I agree with very often, so I’m going to try to give him the benefit of the doubt until I see the product he puts on the field. I don’t see the value of either of those two at 6, but Ballard has a vision. Hopefully he can make it reality.