08-29-2019, 10:42 AM
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Interesting Analysis on 2017 Brissett
https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.co...-2019-starter/
Some nuggets:
Offensive Line:
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Brissett saw much more pressure in 2017 than Luck did last season. Even when accounting for only pressures that resulted from blown blocks — pressures that can be directly attributed to the line and not on the quarterback for holding the ball too long — Brissett still saw quite a bit more pressure. He faced pressure from a blown block on almost 15% of dropbacks, compared to Luck, who faced the same type of pressure on only 6.5% of dropbacks last season.
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Red Zone:
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Funchess and Ebron should combine to provide some nice red zone targets as well.
This production should help Brissett improve his poor play in the red zone. On his 43 red zone attempts in 2017, he had a Positive% — percent of plays with a positive EPA — of only 25%. This ranked 35th out of 36 quarterbacks with 25 red zone attempts that season.
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Running Game:
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The running game supporting Brissett should also be improved. Thanks to the upgraded offensive line, the trio of Marlon Mack, Jordan Wilkins, and Hines had a combined Rushing Positive% of 47% last season. This was much higher than Frank Gore’s Positive% of 37% during Brissett’s season as the starter.
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Accuracy:
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An improved offensive line and better weapons should help, but they won’t add up to much if Brissett can’t complete more passes. Brissett has also only completed 59% of his passes since he’s been in the NFL. This will need to improve if he wants to take the next step.
The good news for him and the Colts is that while his Completion% has been below average, his overall accuracy falls in the same range as other young quarterbacks over their first season-plus as a starter.
Brissett compares relatively well to more high profile quarterbacks over his first season-plus as a starter. Also, his splits in play-action, clean pocket, and in 12 personnel bode well for success this season. The Colts like to throw the ball out of 12 personnel (57% Pass% out of 12 last season) to take advantage of having Ebron and Doyle at tight end, and their offensive line should provide a lot of clean pockets.
It should also be noted that Frank Reich’s offense helped Andrew Luck achieve a Catchable Throw% of 78.6% and a career-high Completion% of 67.3%. This was an increase of 3.8 percentage points from his previous high under coach Chuck Pagano. With Reich’s offense, better personnel around him, and a lot more experience this time around, it’s well within reason to expect Brissett to make a similar jump in Completion% this season.
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