Larry Warford

[Racehorse]

Originally Posted by AlwaysSunnyinIndy

I think any multi-year deal is problematic right now due to the uncertainty surrounding the 2021 salary cap.

If all regular season and playoff games are played this season without fans at the stadium, the projected salary cap could drop by 25 to 30%....that means the salary cap could decrease to about 140 million in that scenario. The Colts are in relatively good shape with respect to the 2021 cap right now.....however, there are several players due a contract extension next year along with whatever the Colts decide to do with the QB position.

I'm sure the players union and owners will sit down and try to negotiate an alternate arrangement for 2021 and beyond - a few ideas have already been floated to the media - but until the 2021 situation is resolved, I doubt many teams will be looking to add a lot of guaranteed money commitments to their 2021 cap number.

I don’t see how the cap could go down and the league function as well as it has. Players will expect an increase or at least same dollars for their level of play and teams that are over the new cap would be heavily impacted. I think we will see the cap frozen at 2020 levels with the understanding that this is a temporary situation that is not intended to set any precedent.

[njcoltfan]

Any chance you could give me today's lottery numbers Race ??

[Racehorse]

Originally Posted by njcoltfan

Any chance you could give me today's lottery numbers Race ??

Nope

[AlwaysSunnyinIndy]

Originally Posted by Racehorse

I don’t see how the cap could go down and the league function as well as it has. Players will expect an increase or at least same dollars for their level of play and teams that are over the new cap would be heavily impacted. I think we will see the cap frozen at 3020 levels with the understanding that this is a temporary situation that is not intended to set any precedent.

One of the ideas that has been leaked to the media is to freeze the cap at the current (or slightly lower) amount, "borrow" against the future and then keep the cap frozen until the debt is made up. They will continue to do the math for what the cap number should have done, but it will be froze at some number in the meantime.

So, for example, let's just say the cap for 2020 is 200M and that it drops 50M to 150M in 2021. For 2022, everything returns to "normal" and it rebounds to 210M.

It could be frozen at 200M and then it would go 50M in debt for 2021. The surplus of 10M in 2022 would then pay down the 50M debt. It could take a few years to pay off the debt, however, unless they find other revenues.

[Dam8610]

The league can do whatever it wants regarding the cap, provided the owners and players come to an agreement. People who are sounding the alarm on this are doing so because the CBA states that the cap is based on a percentage of revenues, and games played in stadiums with no fans would obviously lead to a massive decrease in revenue, which in turn would lead to a massive decrease in the cap. Given the situation, I would think it's something the owners and the players' union will want to figure out, because teams have planned on the basis of projecting the cap forward. No team would be giving any player a $25 million per year contract if they projected the cap to be $150 million. One potential solution would be to have a uncapped year in 2021, the precedent for which was set in 2010, with the idea being that the CBA was not negotiated in such a way to handle a pandemic crisis, and everyone knowing that the 2022 league year will be capped per the normal CBA rules.

[JAFF]

Originally Posted by Dam8610

The league can do whatever it wants regarding the cap, provided the owners and players come to an agreement. People who are sounding the alarm on this are doing so because the CBA states that the cap is based on a percentage of revenues, and games played in stadiums with no fans would obviously lead to a massive decrease in revenue, which in turn would lead to a massive decrease in the cap. Given the situation, I would think it's something the owners and the players' union will want to figure out, because teams have planned on the basis of projecting the cap forward. No team would be giving any player a $25 million per year contract if they projected the cap to be $150 million. One potential solution would be to have a uncapped year in 2021, the precedent for which was set in 2010, with the idea being that the CBA was not negotiated in such a way to handle a pandemic crisis, and everyone knowing that the 2022 league year will be capped per the normal CBA rules.

Football revenue is not that dependant on home attendance, unlike baseball. TV revenue is what makes the NFL go, and if they aren't going to play a full schedule, that's a big deal.