ESPN’s Football Power Index projects the Colts to win 6.8 games next season.
FPI gives them a 17% chance at making the playoffs, and a 9% chance of winning an AFC South division that could be the strongest it’s been in years. The Jaguars and Titans are coming off of years where they each won a playoff game, and the Texans have high hopes for 2018 with a healthy Deshaun Watson.
According to ESPN’s metrics, Indianapolis has a 1% chance of reaching next year’s Super Bowl and a less than 1% chance of taking home the Lombardi Trophy.