Quote:
Originally Posted by Dam8610
I never thought Simmons was a top 10 player. Top 15-20, sure, and he was consistently mocked to the Falcons before his injury, but never top 10 for me. This puts him in the same category for me as Jaylon Smith and Myles Jack: Top 15ish player who suffered a freak knee injury and fell to the top of round 2 as a result. If you could guarantee that he'd be Fletcher Cox after the time he misses with this injury, I wouldn't hesitate to pick him at 26, either, but also he'd be long gone before that, maybe even in the top ten. Unfortunately we don't know how he'll perform and the injury is just another risk factor that could potentially hinder his success. For me, Tillery grades in a similar range but doesn't have the risk factor of the injury to deal with. That's why taking Tillery at 26 or trading down would be options I would use before taking Simmons at 26. I see the value at 34 in part because historically that is where players like Simmons have gone.
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I think he is a top five player in this draft (a strong DT draft) if healthy and no off field crap. To the Falcons seems a little low to me. I think he would have been right behind Q Williams, Bosa and Allen talent wise. At the end of the process I think he would have been top ten with QBs and defensive schemes dropping him a bit. He should project as a better player than Tillery, (and I like Tillery) but if I could guarantee this I would be working in a front office. I don’t mind drafting dropping players, I would have taken that Michigan DT last year. It’s a gamble but has a high payout if you hit.