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Old 02-27-2017, 08:42 AM
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sherck sherck is offline
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Default Why does 2017 need to be about defense?

Too long, won't read:

Since the start of the Peyton years in Indy (1998):

Colts scored more than 30 points in 106 of 329 games (32.2% of them). Of those 106 games, they won 96 of them (90.6% of them).

Colts allowed less than 19 points in 122 of 329 games (37.1% of them). Of those 122 games, they won 116 of them (95.1% of them).

Even for a team like the Colts that is NOT known for building a winning defense over the years, holding opposing teams to less than 19 points is more effective in winning games than scoring 30 or more points.

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These numbers include post-season games back to the start of the Peyton Era in Indy.

1998: 03 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 01 - 2
1999: 06 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 05 - 1
2000: 07 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 06 - 1
2001: 06 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 05 - 1
2002: 01 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 01 - 0
2003: 09 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 08 - 1
2004: 11 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 10 - 1
2005: 07 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 07 - 0
2006: 07 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 07 - 0
2007: 08 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 08 - 0
2008: 06 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 06 - 0
2009: 08 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 08 - 0
2010: 06 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 05 - 1
2011: 00 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 00 - 0
2012: 02 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 02 - 0
2013: 06 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 06 - 0
2014: 06 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 05 - 1
2015: 02 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 02 - 0
2016: 05 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 04 - 1

Since Peyton was drafted, the Colts have scored 30 or more points in 106 of 329 games (19 seasons of 16 games each plus 25 post-season games) for a percentage of scoring 30 or more points in 32.2% of our games

Of those 106 games, the Colts won 96 of them for a win percentage of 90.6%.

So, sure, we win most of the games when we put up more than 4 TDs in a game. I would love to know how that percentage stacks up to the NFL as a whole. How many teams put up more 30 or more points in more than 1/3 of their games?

However, the flip side needs to be exampled as well. The question? "How many times since 1998 have the Colts allowed less than 19 points in a game and won?"

1998: 01 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 01 - 0
1999: 07 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 07 - 0
2000: 08 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 07 - 1
2001: 02 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 02 - 0
2002: 08 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 07 - 1
2003: 08 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 08 - 0
2004: 08 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 08 - 0
2005: 10 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 10 - 0
2006: 07 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 07 - 0
2007: 09 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 08 - 1
2008: 06 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 06 - 0
2009: 12 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 12 - 0
2010: 06 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 05 - 1
2011: 01 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 00 - 1
2012: 06 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 06 - 0
2013: 07 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 07 - 0
2014: 09 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 09 - 0
2015: 04 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 03 - 1
2016: 03 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 03 - 0

Since Peyton was drafted, the Colts have allowed less than 19 points to be scored against them in 122 of 329 games (19 seasons of 16 games each plus 25 post-season games) for a percentage of allowing 19 or less points in 37.1% of our games

Of those 122 games, the Colts won 116 of them for a win percentage of 95.1%.

There you have it. Holding opposing teams to less than 19 points is more effective in winning games than having your own team score 30 or more points.

AND, these win numbers are for a team that was no know for building a game winning defense.

That is why we need to work a whole lot more on our defense.

Cheers,
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Thad
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