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Old 02-02-2018, 12:14 PM
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I have been thinking about our odds of trading back and I am not as optimistic of our chances as many on here are. There are three or four QBs coming out that many think could be franchise QBs (Rosen, Darnold, Mayfield and Allen). There is also Jackson, who someone will take a flyer on. There are also seven FA QBs that teams can choose from (Brees, Giraffe, Bradford, McCarron, Keenum, Bridgewater and Cousins).

Here is the list of teams and their QB situation:
Arizona Cardinals NEED
Atlanta Falcons Ryan
Baltimore Ravens Overpaid Flacco
Buffalo Bills LOL
Carolina Panthers Cam
Chicago Bears Trubisky
Cincinnati Bengals Dalton
Cleveland Browns LOL
Dallas Cowboys Dak
Denver Broncos Semen/Lynch/Oopsweiler
Detroit Lions Stafford
Green Bay Packers Rodgers
Houston Texans Watson
Indianapolis Colts Luck/Brissett
Jacksonville Jaguars Bortles
Kansas City Chiefs Mahomes?
Miami Dolphins Tannehill
Minnesota Vikings Bradford/Keenum/Bridgewater (all are FAs!!)
New England Patriots Gaydy
New Orleans Saints Brees (free agent)
New York Giants Eli
New York Jets NEED
Oakland Raiders Carr
Philadelphia Eagles Wentz/Foles
Pittsburgh Steelers Rapist
San Diego Chargers Rivers
San Francisco 49ers Giraffe (free agent, but likely to get tagged/signed)
Seattle Seahawks Wilson
St. Louis Rams Goff
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Winston
Tennessee Titans Mariotta
Washington Redskins NONE

That means we have the Cardinals, Bills, Browns, Jets, Donkeys, and the Foreskins in the market for sure. Minnesota has to re-sign one of their three guys. One could argue that it is time for the Chargers, Giants and Bengals to look for a replacement, and it would not surprise me at all if TB decides Winston is just not good enough to retain. That makes about ten teams in the market, potentially. You would think that Brees and the Giraffe will stay, but if they don't, then you just replace two of the ten teams. The Smith trade took away one potential trade partner because Cousins will fill a void somewhere. We could see Foles and one of the Minny QBs signed or traded which could eliminate two other teams. McCarron may be the heir to Dalton, taking Cincy out of the mix. That would take us to six or seven teams in the market. Maybe Keenum gets a nod if MINN keeps Bradford, lowering it to five teams. Given that CLE and NYG pick before us, that leaves us with just three trade partners in this scenario (Buffalo, NYJ and whoever does not sign Cousins between AZ and DEN). Maybe one of them wants to leapfrog the other, but the odds just don't seem to be there to me.
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