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Originally Posted by Dam8610
But if the 2022 salary becomes guaranteed on the third day of the 2021 league year, how could the Eagles get out with only the signing and option bonuses as dead cap in 2022? I think you may be confusing the 2021 and 2022 salaries? Because it would make sense for the 2021 salary to become fully guaranteed on the third day of the 2021 league year, but it makes less sense for the 2022 salary to become guaranteed on that day. It would also make sense for the 2022 salary to become guaranteed the third day of the 2022 league year, and would provide the out that Spotrac seems to think exists. I feel like gambling on Wentz in 2021 at the price of 2020 Rivers is worth a 3, because either Reich fixes him and he's the franchise QB who we got for a 3, or he doesn't and the Colts will be able to draft their next franchise QB and walk away from Wentz commitment free.
Considering that his issues seem to be poor playcalling for his skillset, trying to do too much, and mechanics (in a year where a pandemic eliminated the preseason and OTAs), and that he was MVP caliber with Reich as his OC, I think Wentz's best chance of turning it around is with the Colts, where he'll have a team that he doesn't have to carry to win and Reich has demonstrated the ability to tailor an offense to his skillset and has fixed his mechanical issues previously.
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You make a good point – not sure why the $15M guarantee isn’t accounted for in the 2022 dead cap calculations at Spotrac. Honestly, I think they’ve simply overlooked that part of the guarantees when calculating their dead cap number. I ran a quick search and see that it’s been accounted for in this narrative breakdown on the CBS Sports website, which correctly states that the Eagles' dead cap in 2022 would be $39.5M:
https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/a...r%20his%202021
I note the numbers used by the agent in the above article include a few other discrepancies from the Spotrac calculations, so there may be nuances that one or the other have missed. The agent's take appears to be pretty consistent with what I've laid out in prior posts regarding cap hits, etc. to an acquiring team. And he seems to think that the cap numbers will make it difficult to find a taker for Wentz - so again, I think a third rounder would be a significant overpay.