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Plus the offense this year is not good and cannot sustain drives, which plays into the TOP equation and time the D is on the field as well. The DL is much improved this year vs prior years. Teams are not longer able to run straight up the middle on the D. Once they go off tackle or outside though, the D still can't stop them Also the LBers can't cover anyone in the passing game I don't think the secondary as a whole is even too bad when healthy and they would be OK if there was a decent pass rush. I'd be fine with a first round pick at linebacker for a pass rusher, but OL is also a big problem and needs addressed just as bad. Ideal situation with a top 3 pick, which seems likely, is you trade down in the first round for more picks and get both |
Houston and SF are still dangerously close on SOS. May need to lose next week to stay in 2-3 range.
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I doubt the Texans could make up much ground. We play the same exact teams. Lots of similar teams with the 49ers too.
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We're pretty well locked into the third pick at worst aren't we?
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The 2nd pick is still possible. But we've got a significant lead in strength of schedule on the Texans and 49ers. I doubt a big swing could happen in 2 weeks. Especially since most of our opponents are common with the other teams.
There is an advantage in staying 3 wins as in later rounds we won't rotate spots though. |
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Even with a win against Houston in week 17, I think it will be difficult to not be considered the weakest of the 4 win teams and still earn the #3 spot. 1 / CLE / 0-14 / 0.515 2 / NYG / 2-12 / 0.527 3 / IND / 3-12 / 0.489 4 / CLE / 4-10 / 0.502 (pick is Houston's) 5 / SF.../ 4-10 / 0.511 6 / CHI / 4-10 / 0.559 7 / TB../ 4-10 / 0.562 Walk Worthy, |
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At that point, their SOS will be stronger than ours and we will get the #2 overall pick. We would then trade back and forth between the 2nd and 3rd picks of the round with NYG in later rounds but, whatever. Root for a Manning! Go Eli! Walk Worthy, |
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