Playoffs?........Playoffs!?!........PLAYOFFS!?!?!? !!!!!!!!
 

5 games to go and here is how the AFC looks:

1st Seed = KC (9 - 2)
2nd Seed = NE (8 - 3)
3rd Seed = HOU (8 – 3)
4th Seed = PIT (7 – 3 – 1)
5th Seed = SD (8 – 3)
6th Seed = BAL (6 – 5)
7th Spot = IND (6 – 5)
8th Spot = TEN (5 – 6)
9th Spot = DEN (5 – 6)
10th Spot = CIN (5 – 6)
11th Spot = MIA (5 – 6)

First, let’s talk the AFC South. Houston is 2 games ahead with 5 games to play and not many rough games left. Their remaining schedule:

vs CLE (4 – 6 – 1))
vs IND (6 – 5)
@ NYJ (3 – 8)
@ PHI (5 – 6)
vs JAX (3 – 8)

The only team remaining on their schedule with a winning record is us and even if we win against them, they would still be one game up on us. We would require at least one of CLE, NYJ, PHI or JAX to beat them and then it would come down to tiebreakers. If that happens (we win out and HOU losses to us and one other), then the tiebreakers:

1st Tiebreaker = Head to Head = Draw (each team would be 1 – 1 against each other)
2nd Tiebreaker = Division Record = IND 1 division loss; HOU 2 division losses = Colts advantage

So, there it is. To win the division, we need to win out and HOU needs to lose to us and one other team. I think it is unlikely but @ PHI could be a tough game if they are fighting for a wildcard spot in late December and who knows what team CLE will field this next week. It could happen.

Second, Wildcard. We are currently on the outside looking in in the 7th spot. HOWEVER, the remaining schedules for both BAL and IND:

IND:

@ JAX (3 – 8)
@ HOU (8 – 3)
vs DAL (6 – 5)
vs NYG (3 – 8)
@ TEN (5 – 6)

BAL:

@ ATL (4 – 7)
@ KC (9 – 2)
vs TB (4 – 7)
@ SD (8 – 3)
vs CLE (4 – 6 – 1)

Of the two schedules, BAL has a MUCH harder road to walk with AWAY games against KC and SD still in their future. Heck, almost all the teams could give them issues as either Fitzmagic or Fitztragic will show up for TB and CLE appears to be world beaters one week and the same old Cleveland Browns the next week. Who knows who shows up?

I think it is very likely that BAL losses at least 2 if not 3 of their final five games. As long as we can do one better than them, then we have the inside road to the 6th AFC seed.


TL : DR:

- We need HOU to lose to us and to one more team and if we win out, we would capture the AFC South.

- We need to lose no more than 1 more game to have, what I believe is, the inside track to the 6th AFC Seed. If we lose 2 games or more, we will probably not make the playoffs. Too many AFC teams one game behind us that could catch us to make the call at this point.

So, we don’t need perfection out of the Colts but they cannot afford to lose more than one more game if they want to be playing in Jan.

Walk Worthy,

TB is probably rolling with Winston at this point, no more Fitz. I expect Baltimore to win that. But lose to KC and SD. @ATL is a tossup, they're playing for their jobs at this point in the season so I don't think it'll be easy. TB and CLE at home for the Ravens are probably wins, though the Browns will put up a tough fight based on how they've been playing.

Winning the division seems pretty tough at this point so we just need to keep winning and wait for the league to catch up to what Baltimore is doing with their rookie running QB.

Outside shot that 3-2 is good enough for the 2nd WC, but 4-1 should definitely be safe. I still think it's crazy this team could pull off a 9-1 or 8-2 stretch, but doesn't this feel like a 10-6 or 9-7 team? +52 point differential in 11 games tells me they're a little better than a 6-5 team, so 10 wins shouldn't be unexpected. It'll just take winning a couple more nail-bitters like last week to pull it off.

Most likely scenario is a WC and a race between Indy and Baltimore for the #6 spot

Baltimore has the tougher schedule, but as we saw this past weekend, Colts can't take any of these last 5 games for granted. They could potentially lose to I would say to 4 of the last 5 teams if they play sloppy

Not the Giants, they suck bad, that would surprise. But even then they do have OBJ and Barkley, two big offensive targets, and if Eli for one game finds his old playoff magic, who knows what they could do to this D. Might end up a shoot out.

I think if the Colts win 4 of the last 5 they got the #6 seed

If they win 3 of the last 5, its iffy, will likely come down to tiebreakers with Baltimore and depends on which games they win. Baltimore has a one game lead right now in the conference tiebreaker.

After 11 games we have a realistic post about us making the playoffs. Who would have thunk?

I think Houston could win out, unless we beat them. I also think they could lose three games. Such is the league this year.

I think we could win out, or lose three or four games. Such is our team this year.

:D

To one........after week six sitting at 1 - 5. :eek: We were heading for the #1 pick overall.

Five straight wins after that terrible, terrible Jets game is pretty dang amazing.

Let's hope we can keep it rolling against a JAX team that is imploding.

Walk Worthy,

I expected 5-7 wins but that's looking pretty conservative right now. I thought we would finish the season strong but didn't expect to start "finishing" as early as we did.

I think Houston will drop at least 2 games (1 to the Colts), the question is can the Colts win out? If yes, they have a shot at the division. If no, they still have a pretty good shot at a wild card. Going for the win and ending up losing instead of playing for the tie is looming very large in all of this. At 6-4-1, the Colts would control their own destiny in the division.

I'm pretty confident that the Texans are better than the Colts. Of course anything can happen in a single game, but I'm considering the Colts as slight to moderate underdogs going into Houston next week.

I wish quoting Jim Mora would die already.:cool:

Fucking amen.


I have no idea why this is still a thing.

I wasn't impressed by them when they played the Colts in Indy, and they only got the win there because of several stupid unforced errors by the Colts. This team has improved by leaps and bounds since that first meeting, so I see no reason they wouldn't be able to win in Houston. I could also see Vegas making them slight underdogs, but if the current Colts are facing the Texans team they faced in Indy, the Colts should win.

Which team are you talking about? The Texans team that has won 8 games in a row and has significantly more talent on defense?

WC is a possibility. I dont think we win the division.

I am a hard core homer, but it's 100% impossible for us to beat Houston next week because we will be playing Jacksonville. Ebron might catch three TD passes though and put him on pace to break Gronkowski's record for TEs :-)

No. The Colts are playing Jacksonville this week. The Colts play Houston next week.

Gotcha, I misunderstood why were talking about the Texans when we have to win a division game on the road this week for it to make any difference at all next week.

3 games to go; current playoff situation:


4. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5-1)
Conference record: 4-5-1
AFC North record: 3-1-1
Schedule: vs. Patriots (9-4), at Saints (11-2), vs. Bengals (5-8)

Suddenly and unexpectedly, the Steelers have a three-game losing streak, the AFC’s second worst. Only the Cincinnati Bengals’ five-game skid is longer, and there’s no relief in sight for Pittsburgh until its regular-season finale. The New England Patriots are 3-4 on the road this season but are coming off a devastating loss to the Dolphins. The New Orleans Saints, meanwhile, have lost just once at home this year.

5. Los Angeles Chargers (10-3)
Conference record: 7-2
AFC West record: 2-2
Schedule: at Chiefs (11-2), vs. Ravens (7-6), at Broncos (6-7)

The Chargers, now a virtual lock to make the playoffs, have more wins than five NFL division leaders but still face a Herculean task in shedding their No. 5 seed. Even if they beat the Chiefs on Sunday to split the season series, they’re unlikely to equal Kansas City’s AFC West record, the next tiebreaker. To earn a top-four seed, they’ll have to finish ahead of the conference’s top team.

6. Ravens (7-6)
Conference record: 6-4
AFC North record: 2-3
Schedule: vs. Buccaneers (5-8), at Chargers (10-3), vs. Browns (5-7-1)

The Ravens could feel closer to a division title than to a wild-card berth after a good day Sunday. With a win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and a Steelers loss, the Ravens would have approximately a 58 percent chance of snatching the No. 4 seed and a 67 percent chance of hosting a wild-card playoff game, according to the Times' simulator.

7. Indianapolis Colts (7-6)
Conference record: 6-5
AFC South record: 3-2
Schedule: vs. Cowboys (8-5), vs. Giants (5-8), at Titans (7-6)

Because both the Ravens and Colts face NFC teams this Sunday, leaving their conference records unchanged, Indianapolis can’t jump into the second wild-card spot unless it wins and the Ravens lose. The Colts stayed alive by taking down the hottest NFL team heading into Week 14. Can they follow their road win over the Houston Texans with a home victory over the hottest NFL team heading into Week 15? The Dallas Cowboys have won a league-best five straight games.

8. Miami Dolphins (7-6)
Conference record: 6-4
AFC East record: 4-1
Schedule: at Vikings (6-5-1), vs. Jaguars (4-9), at Bills (4-9)

The Dolphins were all but left for dead two weeks ago. Two straight wins later, only one of which required last-second laterals, they are creeping closer toward an unlikely postseason berth. Miami can’t claim a tiebreaker against the Colts because of its Week 12 loss in Indianapolis, so it’ll have to keep winning to keep hope alive. The Dolphins’ game Sunday should be their toughest test left.

9. Tennessee Titans (7-6)
Conference record: 5-6
AFC South record: 3-2
Schedule: at Giants (5-8), vs. Redskins (6-7), vs. Colts (7-6)

After their impressive win Thursday over the Jacksonville Jaguars, the Titans were able to take in Sunday’s chaos from afar. Despite earlier losses to the Ravens, Dolphins and Colts, Tennessee has better postseason odds than Miami, according to the Times, and is behind only the Ravens among the four 7-6 teams, according to FiveThirtyEight’s projected chances. With each week, the importance of the Titans’ regular-season finale against the Colts only grows.

Both the Ravens and the Steelers have tough games left on their schedule with two possible/probable losses on each of their slates. PIT faces NE and NO over the next two weeks and could easily find itself 7-7-1 going into their final game against CIN. BAL faces a tough TB team despite its record, @ LAC whom while they may not be playing for much I doubt will be throwing in the towel with two weeks to go and then a surging CLE team.

Indy needs to take care of business against DAL this week but if we play like we have in 5 out of our past 6 weeks, I think we can take them from what I saw of them yesterday afternoon. Finishing against the NYG and then at TEN are both winnable games.

Catching HOU is out of the question after the loss to JAX. The #6 Wildcard spot it possible/probably if we win out. I expect BAL to lose at leas 1 more so we can get ahead of them.

However, if we lose 1 out of our last 3, we will probably not make the playoffs.

Keep the faith, Colts fans.

Walk Worthy,

I think if the Colts win out they will get the last WC spot. That would mean they beat the Titans. I think Baltimore drops at least one more. The Dolphins have all the appearance of an 8-8 team, they aren't making 10 wins and the Colts beat them head to head.

One loss though and I can't see it happening. Would need a whole lot of help then

Please let this thread die...the title is dumb

I think the Ravens will win two of their last three, ending up at 9-7, and winning the division, because...

The Steelers are not going to right the ship. They will lose two of their last three and end up at 8-7-1.

Indy should win against NYG and if they win one of the Dallas/Tennessee combo, will end up at 9-7. If it's only one though, it needs to be the Titans game, because Tennessee will not lose to either the Giants or Skins, so they could end up at 10-6, with that third wild-card spot.

Miami could also end up 10-6. I don't see the Bills or Jags beating them, but I imagine that Minnesota will give them a game. I wish the Vikings were not playing tonight. That extra day of rest gives the Fins more advantage than they deserve, this late in the season.

So, as has been mentioned multiple times, for a playoff spot, it will likely come down to that week 17 game in Tennessee. I think that at this point in the season, the Colts are a better team than the Titans, but being on the road will make it tough.

Here's to beating the Cowpokes, crushing the Giants, and going into Tennessee on the 30th just needing a win to secure the #6 seed. Then they can go back to Houston or into Baltimore with a puncher's chance to advance.

Agree, I don't see this Steelers team beating the Patriots or the Saints. We don't fully control our own destiny, but it looks like there is a scenario where we bump the Steelers for the 6 seed.

that loss to jax really hurt. we would be sitting pretty for a WC spot if we hadnt shit the bed last week.

And there are few things I would like better.

Well, maybe getting a chance to crush the Cheatriots in the playoffs, but other than that.

Hey, a guy can dream, right?

Same with Jets game.

There have been lots of missed opportunities all year, going back to week one. Bengals, Eagles, Jax, Houston game #1 just making the first down at the end. Any one of those close games changing to a win/tie would make a huge difference.

But such is the life of the NFL. All teams have those games. The good ones win them.

Making the playoffs would be great. However I think most are satisfied so far that the team is on the right track and the fact they are even in the playoff hunt this late in the season is about as good as we could hope for this year. Especially after starting 1-5. I think most of us felt this was a 10 win team max and they are on track for the upper end of those projections so far.

o

A little over a month ago, I said that the 2 games left on the Colts' schedule that caused me the most concern were the ones against the Cowboys and the Texans.

The game that caused me the least concern was the one against the Jaguars.

Somehow the Colts managed to beat the 2 good teams, and screw it up against the bad team.


8-6 overall, heading into the homestretch ........

o

That is what a team full of rookie Players and Coaches will do.

Fucking Patriots. Colts are in the 6th spot if they had beaten Pittsburgh today. Still, have to like the Colts chances at 10-6. Should take care of business next week against the Giants, then a possible game with the Titans where the winner makes it and the loser goes home.

Also, the Pats dropped to the 3rd seed so the Colts could be looking at a rematch. I don’t know about anyone else, but NE doesn’t scare me at all this year.

http://www.patriotsplanet.com/BB/sho...&postcount=491

Patriot tears are even sweeter when you see gems like this, calling out McDaniels for not being up to snuff.

And this one, calling out Brady:

http://www.patriotsplanet.com/BB/sho...&postcount=430

Thank you McDaniels for backing out!

I said it after the loss to NE earlier this year: we would see them again in the playoffs and beat the hell out of them

The funny thin is that Brady isnt playing any different. He was just never anything special IMO. A product of a system that worked well with the Players they had. Oh and cheating. :cool:

Brady's arm strength is declining. He couldn't get the ball out of bounds resulting in that INT. With that said, their fans turn so fast. Worst fans. Can't wait till they suck again and they disappear from the internet.

Best playoff predictor generator:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...l-predictions/

That woman is a sociopath (not sure if you ever had the misfortune of interacting with her over on that shithole), so anything that causes her discomfort brings great comfort to myself.