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Racehorse 04-21-2023 04:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dam8610 (Post 264036)
I admit the truth and accept the fact that Lawrence can not throw with anticipation or make a full field read. May he never learn those skills.

You denied it when I said he scored an 18. Now you move the goalposts and explain it away. You’re insufferable. And his score says he might be borderline retarded.

Dam8610 04-21-2023 04:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chromeburn (Post 264044)
Lots of disinformation going on it seems. Particularly around Stroud. New S2 leak says he got an 18 on the test.

https://twitter.com/shanephallam/sta...L8ardaxv32vrGQ

Don’t know if I buy this though. Doesn’t seem to match the other scores. Also the creator of the S2 test went on the Pff podcast and said all the numbers being leaked are wrong.

Not surprised at all by that. It's lying season. Maybe that's coming from the Colts?

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChaosTheory (Post 264045)
I tried to look up past and didn't find much, just some anecdotes. Even with those, what do we make of it? Like I read that Joe Burrow scored really high so this must have some merit to it, right? Then I read that Justin Fields scored as high as Burrow did and I think, "Oh, so this test doesn't mean shit."

Fields is a good passer, he did a lot of pro concepts at Ohio State (don't take my word for it, go watch JT O'Sullivan talk about the Ryan Day offense). I don't know that the test doesn't mean anything. I also don't know that a low score is some kiss of death for a QB. I just know that if S2 measures anticipation and processing speed, CJ Stroud scoring an 18 is the opposite of what I'd expect based on the tape.

Dam8610 04-21-2023 04:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Racehorse (Post 264049)
You denied it when I said he scored an 18. Now you move the goalposts and explain it away. You’re insufferable. And his score says he might be borderline retarded.

I said I wanted to see some level of proof of it. That was provided. When I saw that, I said it doesn't make sense with the tape. I'm not trying to "explain it away", I'm saying his tape shows anticipation and excellent processing, which is the opposite of that score. The creator of the test said the leaked numbers are wrong, not me. So take that for what it's worth. All this stuff coming out about Stroud right at the end of draft season really seems like some team trying to get Stroud to fall.

Chromeburn 04-21-2023 04:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Racehorse (Post 263983)
I heard on Nashville sports talk radio that there are three huge red flags with stroud.
1. Possibly uncoachable. On the sidelines, he looks bored.
2. S2 scores were low.
3. Supposedly committed to attend Manning Passing Academy, and then blew them off.

FWIW

So I've seen these rumors out there as well. Don't know about the uncoachable part, this would come from the OSU coaches and is probably kept within circles and scouts. As for looking bored... I don't know that's subjective. Is his body language bad? I noticed a scout mention it in the latest Colts draft video.

S2 score. I saw some actual scores posted online in one of my posts above, but don't know if they are accurate. The S2 guy went on PFF podcast and said all the leaked scores are incorrect.

The Manning Passing Academy thing would have been for last year as a counselor. From what I've read they asked him to come last minute and he already had a full schedule and had to refuse. Seems perfectly reasonable to me if it was a last minute ask.

IndyNorm 04-21-2023 05:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChaosTheory (Post 264045)
I know you're speculating/joking, but any explanation like that is obviously a bigger red flag that the shitty score itself. Of course I never heard about any character issues with the kid until this past week.

No doubt. It would be just as big of a red flag as the ones Jalen Carter has been flying since the national championship game. Like you said though, just a joke speculation on my part.

ChaosTheory 04-21-2023 05:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dam8610 (Post 264050)
Not surprised at all by that. It's lying season. Maybe that's coming from the Colts?



Fields is a good passer, he did a lot of pro concepts at Ohio State (don't take my word for it, go watch JT O'Sullivan talk about the Ryan Day offense). I don't know that the test doesn't mean anything. I also don't know that a low score is some kiss of death for a QB. I just know that if S2 measures anticipation and processing speed, CJ Stroud scoring an 18 is the opposite of what I'd expect based on the tape.

Yeah, I think there's just not enough data on it yet. Also, these leaked scores could all be fucked up. Depending on the source, I've read that these reported scores are:



-The overall number grades out of 100 (which means he bombed).

or

-What percentile they scored in among other participants (18th percentile is still not good, but the actual scores could theoretically be way closer than the 75-point gap being reported).

or

-Only one score based on one of the nine sections of the test (so he could've bombed one particular section and excelled in others).

Chromeburn 04-21-2023 06:37 PM

So this came out a couple hours ago.

https://www.si.com/.amp/nfl/2023/04/...oung-cj-stroud

Brylok 04-21-2023 06:52 PM

Imagine thinking any of these guys are going to be as good as Trevor Lawrence...

Five and a half days to go. Calgon, take me away!

Dam8610 04-21-2023 07:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brylok (Post 264067)
Imagine thinking any of these guys are going to be as good as Trevor Lawrence...

Five and a half days to go. Calgon, take me away!

Imagine thinking Trevor Lawrence is going to be better than all the QBs in this class...

Racehorse 04-21-2023 08:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dam8610 (Post 264070)
Imagine thinking Trevor Lawrence is going to be better than all the QBs in this class...

I hope he isn't, but it isn't much of a stretch to imagine it being possible. He has the tools, and only being in Jacksonville could actually screw him up. Too bad they got rid of Meyer so quickly.

Dam8610 04-21-2023 08:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Racehorse (Post 264073)
I hope he isn't, but it isn't much of a stretch to imagine it being possible. He has the tools, and only being in Jacksonville could actually screw him up. Too bad they got rid of Meyer so quickly.

He has the tools, but he hasn't learned any of the skills in 5 years. His passing ability today is similar to his passing ability as a Freshman at Clemson. The athleticism bails him out until he comes up against a team with an elite QB and a great defense. He may be able to win games without developing further, but he won't do much more than winning a weak division, if the division stays weak.

YDFL Commish 04-21-2023 08:16 PM

No matter the scores of the QB's in the S2 test, that has to be a very small component in the choice by any good GM.

I would favor traits in this order:
  • Leadership, Character and Coachability
  • Accuracy
  • Ability Under Pressure
  • Arm Strength
  • Athleticism
  • intangibles i.e. cognitive testing, speakability w/teammates and the media etc. etc. etc.

YDFL Commish 04-21-2023 08:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dam8610 (Post 264074)
He has the tools, but he hasn't learned any of the skills in 5 years. His passing ability today is similar to his passing ability as a Freshman at Clemson. The athleticism bails him out until he comes up against a team with an elite QB and a great defense. He may be able to win games without developing further, but he won't do much more than winning a weak division, if the division stays weak.

Very few of these prospects were coached correctly in college, sans Luck.

Lawrence certainly wasn't coached well under Meyer, then he gets some real coaching and improves.

So let's look at PM's first 2 seasons. Great coaching and continuity within the coaching staff. He had a very difficult rookie year. I was extremely concerned until he brought the team back in the 4th qtr, against a quality Jets team for the victory. Peyton then breaks out in year 2.

So maybe the light goes on for Lawrence in year 3 and he has a breakout season with 2 years of actual good coaching.

If not, I'll agree with you that he will just be a run of the mill mediocre QB in the NFL.

apballin 04-21-2023 09:54 PM

If I’m the GM I’m taking Richardson

His speed has to be respected and creates openings all over the field, there’s no Dlineman in the AFC south that can run him down

He wants to be great and he lines up with Steichens “all ball” philosophy

He’s 20 years old so should easily be the qb for the next 10 years

Say whatever you want about the accuracy but he should be throwing to some big windows because of the fear of his legs

Colts And Orioles 04-21-2023 10:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Spike (Post 264033)



No, I'm not that guy. If the Colts get Stroud, I will be rooting for Stroud to succeed at a high level and beat Lawrence's ass. It's not about that, it's about admitting the truth and accepting the fact, nothing more.




o


Dam says that I'm the only one here of that persuasion.

o

CletusPyle 04-21-2023 11:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by apballin (Post 264080)
If I’m the GM I’m taking Richardson

His speed has to be respected and creates openings all over the field, there’s no Dlineman in the AFC south that can run him down

He wants to be great and he lines up with Steichens “all ball” philosophy

He’s 20 years old so should easily be the qb for the next 10 years

Say whatever you want about the accuracy but he should be throwing to some big windows because of the fear of his legs

You make good points, I personally think Levis is a safer choice, but the potential upside of Richardson could have whoever passes on him kicking themselves in the balls for the next 10 years!:D

Chromeburn 04-22-2023 12:30 AM

One more thing about those S2 scores. Apparently they are from Bob McGinn who has an excellent reputation as a sports reporter and it was received from NFL personnel. If so, that score is really concerning. Something doesn’t add up. If that is the score teams received. Stroud may drop some.

Chromeburn 04-22-2023 12:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by apballin (Post 264080)
If I’m the GM I’m taking Richardson

His speed has to be respected and creates openings all over the field, there’s no Dlineman in the AFC south that can run him down

He wants to be great and he lines up with Steichens “all ball” philosophy

He’s 20 years old so should easily be the qb for the next 10 years

Say whatever you want about the accuracy but he should be throwing to some big windows because of the fear of his legs

If you look around the AFC and that QB gauntlet. You will need someone special just to get you through the playoffs.

IndyNorm 04-22-2023 09:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by YDFL Commish (Post 264077)
Very few of these prospects were coached correctly in college, sans Luck.

Lawrence certainly wasn't coached well under Meyer, then he gets some real coaching and improves.

So let's look at PM's first 2 seasons. Great coaching and continuity within the coaching staff. He had a very difficult rookie year. I was extremely concerned until he brought the team back in the 4th qtr, against a quality Jets team for the victory. Peyton then breaks out in year 2.

So maybe the light goes on for Lawrence in year 3 and he has a breakout season with 2 years of actual good coaching.

If not, I'll agree with you that he will just be a run of the mill mediocre QB in the NFL.

The thing is though the light has already gone on for Lawrence. Despite getting off to a rough start due to the hangover from the Meyer dumpster fire, he still threw for a 66% completion percentage, 4,100 yards, and a TD/Int ratio of 25/8. If you look at the 2nd half of the season (final 9 games) he threw for 70%, 2,300 yards, and 15/2.

Of course Dam's delusional ass is going to get on here and say all of that was pure luck, but anyone with any sense knows you can't luck your way into those good of numbers in the NFL.

Brylok 04-22-2023 09:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by apballin (Post 264080)
If I’m the GM I’m taking Richardson

You're fired.

Chromeburn 04-22-2023 10:48 AM

More elaboration on Stroud.

https://twitter.com/_mlfootball/stat...L8ardaxv32vrGQ

apballin 04-22-2023 11:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chromeburn (Post 264085)
One more thing about those S2 scores. Apparently they are from Bob McGinn who has an excellent reputation as a sports reporter and it was received from NFL personnel. If so, that score is really concerning. Something doesn’t add up. If that is the score teams received. Stroud may drop some.

Maybe he bombed it intentionally because he didn’t wanna go to the Texans or panthers?

Anyone thought of that?

I’m sure all these bullshit tests start to weigh on you as an individual

You’re drafting a football player not a doctor

ChaosTheory 04-22-2023 01:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chromeburn (Post 264098)

That's what RM and I were saying a few pages back. Good score doesn't mean great QB. But bad score means probably not a great QB. I wonder if this was the same quote RM was referencing.

So it is a percentile, not a score. Still a monster gap according to those quotes.

By the way, I assumed the S2 only started in the past couple of years after they ditched the Wonderlic. But they've been using it for seven years. Does anybody know if more past score have been posted?

I'd love to see the correlation.

apballin 04-23-2023 09:27 AM

Dams gonna love this…

Latest ESPN mock has Stroud falling to us at 4

omahacolt 04-23-2023 09:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by apballin (Post 264135)
Dams gonna love this…

Latest ESPN mock has Stroud falling to us at 4

dam will be insufferable

really i don't care. i just want a young qb. preference being richardson

Dam8610 04-23-2023 01:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by apballin (Post 264135)
Dams gonna love this…

Latest ESPN mock has Stroud falling to us at 4

Not really, I'd love it if the situation actually plays out.

apballin 04-23-2023 02:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dam8610 (Post 264153)
Not really, I'd love it if the situation actually plays out.

I’d be alright with it, not to mention knowing the Texans passed on him should give him added motivation playing them twice a year

Brylok 04-23-2023 07:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by omahacolt (Post 264137)
really i don't care. i just want a young qb. preference being richardson

Oof. Why?

YDFL Commish 04-23-2023 09:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brylok (Post 264159)
Oof. Why?

Yeah, anybody but Richardson.

Chromeburn 04-23-2023 09:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by apballin (Post 264103)
Maybe he bombed it intentionally because he didn’t wanna go to the Texans or panthers?

Anyone thought of that?

I’m sure all these bullshit tests start to weigh on you as an individual

You’re drafting a football player not a doctor

Saw this today.

https://www.dispatch.com/story/sport...e/70139209007/

“All the leaks that you’re seeing is one number," Ally said. "It is a mistake to value one number. We give 9 different cognitive tests. If you score in the 90th you could be in the 10th for object tracking which means you have tunnel vision.”

Dam8610 04-23-2023 09:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by YDFL Commish (Post 264166)
Yeah, anybody but Richardson.

The "anybody but"s are Levis and Hooker for me.

apballin 04-23-2023 10:09 PM

Better be one of the 4 chromeburn listed… my list stops there anything but the guys after the top 4

Chromeburn 04-24-2023 02:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChaosTheory (Post 264113)
That's what RM and I were saying a few pages back. Good score doesn't mean great QB. But bad score means probably not a great QB. I wonder if this was the same quote RM was referencing.

So it is a percentile, not a score. Still a monster gap according to those quotes.

By the way, I assumed the S2 only started in the past couple of years after they ditched the Wonderlic. But they've been using it for seven years. Does anybody know if more past score have been posted?

I'd love to see the correlation.

It really only started to see the spotlight because Brock Purdy came out of nowhere and people were asking how? Then someone pointed out his high S2 score. But you got the gist. 7 years of data. Been busts with high scores, but no successful low scores.

I still don’t know if the Stroud’s 18 is his total score or just one of his scores. I assume the teams have all this data so the leaks are interesting. Is someone trying to get him to drop? Or maybe a team saying hey we’re gonna pass on him for a reason.

Lov2fish 04-24-2023 09:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dam8610 (Post 264070)
Imagine thinking Trevor Lawrence is going to be better than all the QBs in this class...

Given the allegedly top 4 in this years draft that is a real possibility. Your guy has the mental capacity of a potato apparently. Two of the other 3 leave a lot of room for improvement. If Young was 6'3" or 6'4" and 220-225 this would be a moot point for any conversation on who is the best QB in this draft.

Dam8610 04-24-2023 10:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lov2fish (Post 264191)
Given the allegedly top 4 in this years draft that is a real possibility. Your guy has the mental capacity of a potato apparently. Two of the other 3 leave a lot of room for improvement. If Young was 6'3" or 6'4" and 220-225 this would be a moot point for any conversation on who is the best QB in this draft.

The test creator of S2 said the leaked scores are inaccurate, and the film shows CJ Stroud as very capable of processing quickly and reading defenses well. Film trumps all, the measurables are there to help interpret it, but the evaluation is done by watching the games. I don't know that I'd rank Young ahead of Stroud even if he were that height and weight, because there's evidence both ways. Watch Stroud vs. Georgia and Young vs. Texas and then tell me Young is the better QB. If you do, I know you're biased.

apballin 04-24-2023 10:02 AM

Stroud played in snoop dogs little league in California, just an interesting tidbit

rm1369 04-24-2023 11:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dam8610 (Post 264194)
The test creator of S2 said the leaked scores are inaccurate, and the film shows CJ Stroud as very capable of processing quickly and reading defenses well. Film trumps all, the measurables are there to help interpret it, but the evaluation is done by watching the games. I don't know that I'd rank Young ahead of Stroud even if he were that height and weight, because there's evidence both ways. Watch Stroud vs. Georgia and Young vs. Texas and then tell me Young is the better QB. If you do, I know you're biased.

You make it sound as if the evaluation of game tape is easy and obvious. If that were the case busts wouldn’t be so common. Just because you see it doesn’t mean others do. If Stroud is even available for the Colts that means at least one pro GM didn’t see it as obviously as you apparently have.

Dam8610 04-24-2023 11:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rm1369 (Post 264205)
You make it sound as if the evaluation of game tape is easy and obvious. If that were the case busts wouldn’t be so common. Just because you see it doesn’t mean others do. If Stroud is even available for the Colts that means at least one pro GM didn’t see it as obviously as you apparently have.

Far from it, evaluation of film is difficult. That's why 50% is a high hit rate in the NFL draft. Coming away from one draft with four plus starters or impact role players is a great draft, it's why Ballard is considered a great drafter, he's done that consistently. That's also why the combine and pro days exist, to give data to compare to the film. But the film is the deciding factor of any evaluation.

And of course not everyone is going to see it the same way. If you saw the big board of 10 different teams, you'd see no less than 4 different rankings of the QBs, and my money would be on more than that. Some teams have Richardson as the #1 QB, I'm sure. There's probably even someone who has Levis as the #1 QB.

rm1369 04-24-2023 12:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dam8610 (Post 264208)
Far from it, evaluation of film is difficult. That's why 50% is a high hit rate in the NFL draft. Coming away from one draft with four plus starters or impact role players is a great draft, it's why Ballard is considered a great drafter, he's done that consistently. That's also why the combine and pro days exist, to give data to compare to the film. But the film is the deciding factor of any evaluation.

And of course not everyone is going to see it the same way. If you saw the big board of 10 different teams, you'd see no less than 4 different rankings of the QBs, and my money would be on more than that. Some teams have Richardson as the #1 QB, I'm sure. There's probably even someone who has Levis as the #1 QB.

Which would be one of the reasons people would use other tools like the S2 test. It is tough without having the historical data on the testing, but to me the idea behind the tests make sense. And it makes sense to me that a poor score should be a huge red flag. We don’t know for sure that the test is very predictive and we don’t know for sure Stroud scored poorly, but if he’s available to the Colts I think it’s likely due to the testing.

YDFL Commish 04-24-2023 02:43 PM

I can't remember where I read it, but in the article a scout said that Stroud's S2 test did match his tape.

So which do I believe the future HOF GM in Dammy or the scout?


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