Agree that effective running game and limiting KC offensive time of possession is key.....also I'd add to stat that not only did they only beat 2 playoff teams, they lost to 4 so they are vulnerable against better teams. Too lazy to look this up and since I haven't seen KC play, not sure but I think I've heard that he has a large number of interceptions to go along with his star wars passing/TD stats????

If true, another key for this game is our D's ability to get one or two turnovers....I'd love to see our D get 7 to 14 points to go along with 21+ points on offense. Go Colts!!!!

I just don't think Mahomes can sustain the pace he started at, and when you look at the end of his season, he didn't. I'm not saying the Chiefs will be easy. But they are not the juggernaut they were thought to be through the first 11 weeks.

I actually agree their defense will be better than how they're ranked. They have too many talented players to actually be that bad.

Everyone is touting the Colts D as being stellar lately, and it has been impressive, especially against the run. As for pass defense, in the last 10 games, the best passer they've faced was Eli Manning and he did pretty good against the Colts. Mahomes is a much bigger threat in the passing game than the current Eli Manning. Colts need to score often, but long sustained scoring drives can help this D tremendously.

There have been quite a few open holes in the Colts zones over the last few games. Only Manning consistently hit them. I expect Maholmes to as well and for Reid to scheme those holes even wider by getting Leonard and Walker to respect the run and other wide receiver actions like jet sweeps.

For anyone particularly confident in this game, just remind yourself that the Colts beat the worst playoff team last week. That Houston game doesn't mean anything.

Not really...

Mahomes has 50 TDs, 12 INTs and 66% comp %

Luck has 39 TDs, 15 INTs, 67.3% comp %

Mahomes is going to light this defense up. My only hope is we can make them go the length of the field slowly and force a few field goals and maybe a punt or two.

Yep, but I'll add the hope that he airmails a couple balls up the middle of the field for picks. Also, this feels like a game where Leonard could get a big FF with how the Chiefs like to play for some short passes and run-after-catch. If Colts get to +2 in turnover differential, I like their chances.

http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/2...visional-round

Plus more stats highlighting how good the Colts have been since Week 7:

• Luck has posted the league's best QBR (80.6).
  
• The Colts are third in points per drive (2.6) and in series success rate (76.9 percent).
  
• The Indy defense is second in points allowed per drive (1.5) and third in touchdown drive percentage (17.1 percent).
  
• Indianapolis is the only team to rank in the top five in both offensive (fourth) and defensive (third) win expectancy.
  
• The Colts have the best point margin (plus-131 points) and average point margin (plus-11.9 points per game) in the league.

Picked by Wilson

Yes and for once come down with a tipped pass or 2.