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Agreed.

IF Luck is back for the fiest game of the season and plays well (as he usually does), I'm going with 11-4-1.

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I hate to be a pessimist but my first thought was 7-9. I have that little faith in Pagano and it looks like the South is improving.

That being said if Luck is there for 14 games and is actually healthy he might will alone them to 9 or 10.

Really the worst thing that can happen is another 9-7, 10-6 record, limp into the playoffs and fail to make it far again. Which unfortunately I think is where this is headed. Then Irsay will again be arguing for Pagano to come back

Hopefully Ballard will be able to talk him out of it this time in this scenario.

Luck won't be "Luck" until Week 6 at the earliest. 7 wins.

8-8 is our new 12-4.

I had predicted 7-9 when the schedule first came out, but since it looks like Luck will probably miss the start of the season I'm going with 5-11.

You guys are hilarious!!!!!!

7-9 wins!! you got to be fucking kidding me killing me smalls!!!

And how the fuck do you guys figure he will not be ready for week 1?

I say 9 wins just because I think we will have some cupcake games that we win even while playing badly. I think the defense will look better but we'll struggle w/QB play at first because Luck isn't ready, and because of coaching.

Even if he plays, how effective do you think he'll be? He hasn't thrown a football in 8 months. I think you're underestimating the precision it takes to be a good NFL QB and how quickly he can regain it after so long.

The more I hear from the front office the more I think Luck won't be starting the season, might be ready sometime in the first month but not for week one. Don't know that for sure, just my impression.

Luckily the schedule is not too bad to start the season and the divisional games don't really get going until October. The Sept games are Rams, Cardinals and Cleveland. Then there is Seatle week 4, SF week 5. Say the Colts can beat Cleveland and one other game there, 2-3 in that stretch without Luck. Tenn is week 6, he better be back by then or the team is screwed, might as well starting thinking about next year.

Steelers game is a loss. Lose at least two division games I think. That is already 6 losses even if they win all the rest. The team is uneven under Pagano and is likely to lose some games they expect to win.

I am going with another 8-8 season. Take our lumps another year and continue to build the D and O line for next year.

I hope I am wrong. If Luck makes it back earlier than October or only misses a few weeks, it could be a 9-10 win season. Just wouldn't count on it.